TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055171
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411114411114119
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 80 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 63.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 64–44 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 44 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-44 in 108
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 20 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1482 vs Hainiuk 1383
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 80% vs Hainiuk 40%
Kaganovych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 60% vs Hainiuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +3 · Hainiuk +1
Kaganovych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kaganovych) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.50 / Hainiuk 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kaganovych)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055171
Kaganovych1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 125 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it82% 89 of 109
Hainiuk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 57 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych100%6 of 6
AwayHainiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych6Hainiuk4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S2Kaganovych6Hainiuk4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S3Kaganovych6Hainiuk4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Kaganovych6Hainiuk2n = 8Kaganovych took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychHainiukK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.935.0+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 550 vs 370 / 68562.2%54%342 / 550 vs 370 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.50/Hainiuk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych—71211113V. Hainiuk—1110781
WAug 25 · 17:35V. Kaganovych—1511113V. Hainiuk—13910
WAug 24 · 14:35V. Kaganovych—11118113V. Hainiuk—641181
LAug 18 · 19:35V. Kaganovych—7114111V. Hainiuk—11511133
WAug 17 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—11126113V. Hainiuk—7101141
WAug 11 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—11811113V. Hainiuk—711581
WAug 10 · 20:25V. Kaganovych—1111113V. Hainiuk—9330
LAug 3 · 14:35V. Kaganovych—881311152V. Hainiuk—1111112173
LJul 31 · 15:25V. Kaganovych—4912111V. Hainiuk—111110133
WJul 28 · 20:25V. Kaganovych—1551011113V. Hainiuk—131112562
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 13:55V. Kaganovych1.501211133I. Elfemov2.50108110LAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781LAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 15:05V. Kaganovych1.8011911113V. Chumak1.91911931LAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101WAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7371211772V. Hainiuk2.001110511113WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.80241111113I. Elfemov1.9111116932
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