TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055121
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11881113111210––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 84 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 59.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 22–15 Andrii Lifanov Andrii Lifanov has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-15 in 37
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1462 vs Lifanov 1471
Lifanov
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 60% vs Lifanov 100%
Lifanov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 50% vs Lifanov 80%
Lifanov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +1 · Lifanov +5
Lifanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.57 / Lifanov 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kaganovych)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055121
Kaganovych1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 125 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it82% 89 of 109
Lifanov2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych7wins
AwayLifanov3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych60%3 of 5
AwayLifanov20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych5Lifanov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaganovych6Lifanov4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S3Kaganovych6Lifanov4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Kaganovych6Lifanov2n = 8Kaganovych took 6 of 8
S5Kaganovych3Lifanov2n = 5Kaganovych took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychLifanovK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.435.9+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 548 vs 204 / 36562%55.9%340 / 548 vs 204 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.57/Lifanov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—115811112A. Lifanov—811119133
WAug 10 · 16:25V. Kaganovych—101111113A. Lifanov—122251
WAug 3 · 18:05V. Kaganovych—1112113A. Lifanov—81060
LJul 31 · 19:55V. Kaganovych—11271172A. Lifanov—511116113
LJul 27 · 13:55V. Kaganovych—981171A. Lifanov—11117113
WJul 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych—1011211113A. Lifanov—12211892
WJul 14 · 19:25V. Kaganovych—691111113A. Lifanov—11115642
WJul 10 · 20:25V. Kaganovych—811119113A. Lifanov—11891172
WJul 6 · 12:35V. Kaganovych—11119113A. Lifanov—781151
WJun 30 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—1111113A. Lifanov—8770
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 13:55V. Kaganovych1.501211133I. Elfemov2.50108110LAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781LAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 15:05V. Kaganovych1.8011911113V. Chumak1.91911931LAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
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