TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015324
Played Aug 26Finished
Denys Boltenkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–5Last 7Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDenys Boltenkov above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Boltenkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Boltenkov 1229 vs Lifanov 1430
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltenkov 40% vs Lifanov 80%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltenkov 29% vs Lifanov 70%
Lifanov
Correct
41pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltenkov -3 · Lifanov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Boltenkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltenkov 1.80 / Lifanov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13015324
Boltenkov1.80
29%won 2 of 7 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lifanov1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltenkovLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 7 vs 200 / 36128.6%55.4%2 / 7 vs 200 / 361Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovBoltenkov 1.80/Lifanov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lifanov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
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