TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055119
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811741110121311
Ivan Elfemov
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Ivan Elfemov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 98 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 68.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 9–4 Ivan Elfemov Ivan Elfemov has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1467 vs Elfemov 1364
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 80% vs Elfemov 60%
Lifanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 80% vs Elfemov 50%
Lifanov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov -1 · Elfemov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Lifanov) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Elfemov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 1.40 / Elfemov 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Lifanov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055119
Lifanov1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Elfemov2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 37 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLifanov7wins
AwayElfemov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov87.5%7 of 8
AwayElfemovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov8Elfemov2n = 10Lifanov took 8 of 10
S2Lifanov6Elfemov4n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S3Lifanov6Elfemov4n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S4Lifanov3Elfemov1n = 4Lifanov took 3 of 4
S5Lifanov2Elfemov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLifanovElfemovL − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.933.8+4.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovElfemovBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 367 vs 266 / 44355.9%60.1%205 / 367 vs 266 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovLifanov 1.40/Elfemov 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov—1111410133I. Elfemov—871112112
WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov—1411113I. Elfemov—12870
LAug 25 · 14:05A. Lifanov—14571182I. Elfemov—1211117113
WAug 16 · 14:25A. Lifanov—1111113I. Elfemov—8930
WAug 6 · 15:35A. Lifanov—116911113I. Elfemov—81111482
LJul 30 · 14:05A. Lifanov—98111162I. Elfemov—111187113
WJul 29 · 17:35A. Lifanov—1111113I. Elfemov—8460
LJun 25 · 19:55A. Lifanov—6390I. Elfemov—1111113
WJun 23 · 18:35A. Lifanov—1111163I. Elfemov—67140
WJun 19 · 17:05A. Lifanov—1111123I. Elfemov—84100
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
I. Elfemov10
LSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791WSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113WSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113LAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.