TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015338
Played Aug 26Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–4Last 7Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111171113911––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 62.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 0–1 Andrii Lifanov Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1392 vs Lifanov 1443
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 40% vs Lifanov 80%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 43% vs Lifanov 70%
Lifanov
Correct
27pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -1 · Lifanov +4
Lifanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lifanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 2.50 / Lifanov 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Lifanov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015338
Azarov2.50
43%won 3 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
57%takes the first set · 4 of 7
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lifanov1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 127 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAzarov0wins
AwayLifanov1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLifanov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAzarovLifanovA − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.045.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 7 vs 201 / 36242.9%55.5%3 / 7 vs 201 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovAzarov 2.50/Lifanov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 16 · 18:25A. Azarov—11561152A. Lifanov—611116113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
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