TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015094
Played Aug 26Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161214911611––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 80 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 64.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 15–18 Andrii Lifanov Yevhen Bielokon has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1319 vs Lifanov 1417
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Lifanov 60%
Lifanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 40% vs Lifanov 70%
Lifanov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon +1 · Lifanov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lifanov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.38 / Lifanov 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lifanov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13015094
Bielokon2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Lifanov1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 127 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon2wins
AwayLifanov8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon40%2 of 5
AwayLifanov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon5Lifanov5n = 10split evenly
S2Bielokon5Lifanov5n = 10split evenly
S3Bielokon4Lifanov6n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S4Bielokon2Lifanov7n = 9Lifanov took 7 of 9
S5Bielokon1Lifanov4n = 5Lifanov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonLifanovB − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.543.4−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 566 vs 199 / 36048.1%55.3%272 / 566 vs 199 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovBielokon 2.38/Lifanov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—1112961A. Lifanov—61411113
LAug 16 · 15:25Y. Bielokon—1211111062A. Lifanov—146712113
WAug 6 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—14115123A. Lifanov—12511101
LJul 29 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—971181A. Lifanov—11118113
LJul 20 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—971181A. Lifanov—11115113
LJul 14 · 18:25Y. Bielokon—13511992A. Lifanov—1111411113
LJul 6 · 14:35Y. Bielokon—101151152A. Lifanov—129119113
WJun 19 · 18:35Y. Bielokon—111185113A. Lifanov—85111172
LJun 16 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—11117882A. Lifanov—981111113
LJun 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon—5280A. Lifanov—1111113
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
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