TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13014940
Played Aug 26Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111311511115119
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 63.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 18–14 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-14 in 32
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1453 vs Sydorenko 1291
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 100% vs Sydorenko 40%
Lifanov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 70% vs Sydorenko 30%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov +5 · Sydorenko -2
Lifanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lifanov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 1.50 / Sydorenko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lifanov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13014940
Lifanov1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 127 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 121
Sydorenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 80 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLifanov6wins
AwaySydorenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov100%4 of 4
AwaySydorenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Lifanov6Sydorenko4n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S3Lifanov5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Lifanov5Sydorenko0n = 5Lifanov took 5 of 5
S5Lifanov2Sydorenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLifanovSydorenkoL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.036.1+1.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 363 vs 266 / 58955.7%45.2%202 / 363 vs 266 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovLifanov 1.50/Sydorenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 16:05A. Lifanov—4970V. Sydorenko—1111113
LJul 29 · 16:35A. Lifanov—81260V. Sydorenko—1114113
LJul 14 · 17:25A. Lifanov—101161182V. Sydorenko—124119113
WJun 16 · 12:35A. Lifanov—1111611113V. Sydorenko—91311792
LJun 9 · 19:05A. Lifanov—107111192V. Sydorenko—121178113
WMay 18 · 13:05A. Lifanov—1412113V. Sydorenko—121040
WMay 7 · 13:25A. Lifanov—811511113V. Sydorenko—11811732
WMay 2 · 07:55A. Lifanov—71112113V. Sydorenko—1181071
WApr 28 · 17:05A. Lifanov—1211113V. Sydorenko—10850
WApr 25 · 15:25A. Lifanov—1111103V. Sydorenko—9940
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153
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