TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055174
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111171012611––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 72.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 21–60 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Sydorenko has won 21 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-60 in 81
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 39 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1282 vs Kaganovych 1490
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 40% vs Kaganovych 80%
Kaganovych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Kaganovych 60%
Kaganovych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -2 · Kaganovych +4
Kaganovych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 3.00 / Kaganovych 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kaganovych)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055174
Sydorenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 83 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Kaganovych1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 125 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it82% 89 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko2wins
AwayKaganovych8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko50%2 of 4
AwayKaganovych100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko7Kaganovych3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S4Sydorenko3Kaganovych6n = 9Kaganovych took 6 of 9
S5Sydorenko1Kaganovych5n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoKaganovychS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.445.2−3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 596 vs 343 / 55145.1%62.3%269 / 596 vs 343 / 551Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychSydorenko 3.00/Kaganovych 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 14:05V. Sydorenko—1111133V. Kaganovych—57110
LAug 17 · 12:35V. Sydorenko—81211382V. Kaganovych—1110411113
LAug 11 · 18:35V. Sydorenko—119111162V. Kaganovych—131199113
LAug 3 · 19:05V. Sydorenko—116391V. Kaganovych—91111113
WJul 28 · 18:55V. Sydorenko—137119113V. Kaganovych—111181192
LJul 14 · 13:25V. Sydorenko—714111182V. Kaganovych—111699113
LJun 16 · 18:35V. Sydorenko—811761V. Kaganovych—11911113
LJun 2 · 17:05V. Sydorenko—71111692V. Kaganovych—118611113
LMay 27 · 15:35V. Sydorenko—88161162V. Kaganovych—1111144113
LMay 18 · 18:35V. Sydorenko—117871V. Kaganovych—81111113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 13:55V. Kaganovych1.501211133I. Elfemov2.50108110LAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781LAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 15:05V. Kaganovych1.8011911113V. Chumak1.91911931LAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
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