TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061691
Played Sep 2Finished
Ruslan Serhyenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711911––––
Artem Azarov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Serhyenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ruslan Serhyenko at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 0–2 Artem Azarov Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:23What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Serhyenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1230 vs Azarov 1321
Azarov
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 60% vs Azarov 40%
Serhyenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 30% vs Azarov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -1 · Azarov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Azarov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Azarov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 1.80 / Azarov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Azarov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13061691
Serhyenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 40 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Azarov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSerhyenko0wins
AwayAzarov2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderAzarov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoAzarovS − ABasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match38.041.5−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 600 vs 7 / 1644%43.8%264 / 600 vs 7 / 16Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AzarovSerhyenko 1.80/Azarov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Azarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Azarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko—10790A. Azarov—1211113
LAug 27 · 16:25R. Serhyenko—1011111172A. Azarov—124913113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183LAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101LAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970LAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113LAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
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