TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049692
Played Aug 31Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119811811––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 55.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 13–9 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:24What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sharpai
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Sharpai
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1325 vs Hainiuk 1385
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 20% vs Hainiuk 40%
Hainiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 20% vs Hainiuk 60%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -1 · Hainiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sharpai) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.61 / Hainiuk 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sharpai)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13049692
Sharpai1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 43 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Hainiuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSharpai6wins
AwayHainiuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSharpai leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai50%4 of 8
AwayHainiukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai8Hainiuk2n = 10Sharpai took 8 of 10
S2Sharpai4Hainiuk6n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S3Sharpai7Hainiuk3n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S4Sharpai4Hainiuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Sharpai2Hainiuk3n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSharpaiHainiukS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.735.0+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 556 vs 367 / 67946.8%54.1%260 / 556 vs 367 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.61/Hainiuk 2.20
Miss
What we said
55.3%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 17:35V. Sharpai—1110881V. Hainiuk—61211113
WJul 31 · 18:25V. Sharpai—6111111123V. Hainiuk—111397102
WJul 21 · 14:35V. Sharpai—1111113V. Hainiuk—8450
WJul 20 · 14:35V. Sharpai—1111113V. Hainiuk—6260
LJul 13 · 20:25V. Sharpai—111111962V. Hainiuk—513711113
LApr 17 · 03:05V. Sharpai—11718732V. Hainiuk—3111611113
LMar 18 · 16:35V. Sharpai—11811882V. Hainiuk—511311113
WMar 17 · 16:25V. Sharpai—71111113V. Hainiuk—114561
WMar 15 · 18:35V. Sharpai—117911113V. Hainiuk—41111372
WMar 11 · 17:05V. Sharpai—111111113V. Hainiuk—381331
V. Sharpai10
WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970LAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101WAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7371211772V. Hainiuk2.001110511113WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.80241111113I. Elfemov1.9111116932
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