TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482469
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111412118116––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:18 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 60.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 2–1 Viktor Sharpai Viktor Sharpai has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1559 vs Sharpai 1329
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 80% vs Sharpai 20%
Korobov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 60% vs Sharpai 20%
Korobov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +3 · Sharpai -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.73 / Sharpai 2.00
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Korobov)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482469
Korobov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 53 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Sharpai2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 5 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKorobov2wins
AwaySharpai1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKorobov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov1Sharpai2n = 3Sharpai took 2 of 3
S2Korobov2Sharpai1n = 3Korobov took 2 of 3
S3Korobov2Sharpai1n = 3Korobov took 2 of 3
S4Korobov3Sharpai0n = 3Korobov took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKorobovSharpaiK − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.033.7+9.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 135 vs 269 / 57361.5%47%83 / 135 vs 269 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.73/Sharpai 2.00
Hit
What we said
60.7%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 21 · 12:35O. Korobov—91111113V. Sharpai—114431
LJul 13 · 18:25O. Korobov—6101111102V. Sharpai—111277123
WJul 7 · 15:55O. Korobov—11116113V. Sharpai—861151
O. Korobov10
WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113LAug 17 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5011412952M. Skliar2.507111011113LAug 10 · 19:25A. Lifanov2.00711117133O. Korobov1.73115611112
V. Sharpai10
WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970
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