TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12444923
Played Aug 17Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311118––––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 65 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 66.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 8–9 Volodymyr Hainiuk Oleksii Korobov has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1530 vs Hainiuk 1414
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 40% vs Hainiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 60% vs Hainiuk 40%
Korobov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -3 · Hainiuk -1
Korobov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobov form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.57 / Hainiuk 2.25
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Korobov)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12444923
Korobov1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 51 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 36 of 47
Hainiuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov5wins
AwayHainiuk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov100%4 of 4
AwayHainiuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov4Hainiuk6n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S2Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S3Korobov5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Korobov3Hainiuk5n = 8Hainiuk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovHainiukK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.336.1+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 129 vs 375 / 68360.5%54.9%78 / 129 vs 375 / 683Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.57/Hainiuk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 13:55O. Korobov—8711101V. Hainiuk—11118123
WAug 3 · 15:35O. Korobov—1213113V. Hainiuk—101150
WJul 27 · 16:25O. Korobov—71111113V. Hainiuk—116981
WJul 21 · 15:35O. Korobov—11119113V. Hainiuk—971141
WJul 13 · 13:55O. Korobov—1112113V. Hainiuk—71080
LJun 2 · 17:35O. Korobov—841131V. Hainiuk—11112113
WMay 26 · 15:35O. Korobov—111269113V. Hainiuk—410111192
LApr 14 · 16:05O. Korobov—511591V. Hainiuk—11711113
LApr 7 · 15:35O. Korobov—911881V. Hainiuk—11411113
LMar 31 · 15:05O. Korobov—711101152V. Hainiuk—114128113
O. Korobov10
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113LAug 17 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5011412952M. Skliar2.507111011113LAug 10 · 19:25A. Lifanov2.00711117133O. Korobov1.73115611112
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101LAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100
Upcoming Matches
O. Korobov
V. Hainiuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.