TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12445231
Played Aug 17Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1174111210911511
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 64.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 3–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Korobov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1551 vs Skliar 1467
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 60% vs Skliar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 70% vs Skliar 50%
Korobov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -1 · Skliar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.50 / Skliar 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Korobov)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12445231
Korobov1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 51 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 36 of 47
Skliar2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 10 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKorobov3wins
AwaySkliar0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKorobov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov2Skliar1n = 3Korobov took 2 of 3
S2Korobov1Skliar2n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S3Korobov3Skliar0n = 3Korobov took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKorobovSkliarK − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.732.0+9.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 126 vs 46 / 7961.1%58.2%77 / 126 vs 46 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.50/Skliar 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 10 · 17:25O. Korobov—4111311113M. Skliar—111311562
WJul 1 · 14:35O. Korobov—11911113M. Skliar—811761
WJun 24 · 17:05O. Korobov—1111113M. Skliar—7740
O. Korobov10
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113LAug 10 · 19:25A. Lifanov2.00711117133O. Korobov1.73115611112
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
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