TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060874
Played Sep 2Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811119211––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 69 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 56.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 1–1 Mykhailo Skliar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1485 vs Skliar 1397
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Skliar 20%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Skliar 10%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Skliar -4
Skliar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.57 / Skliar 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Fomin)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13060874
Fomin1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Skliar2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 13 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFomin1wins
AwaySkliar1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricFominSkliarF − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match43.046.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 545 vs 56 / 10448.8%53.9%266 / 545 vs 56 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.57/Skliar 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 22:05M. Fomin—911871M. Skliar—11911113
WAug 24 · 22:35M. Fomin—6131011113M. Skliar—111112792
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
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