TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067707
Played Sep 4Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111210411811––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 68.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 3–11 Serhii Pitsyk Mykyta Fomin has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Pitsyk
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1485 vs Pitsyk 1569
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Pitsyk 60%
Pitsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Pitsyk 70%
Pitsyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Pitsyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.75 / Pitsyk 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Pitsyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067707
Fomin2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 93 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 79
Pitsyk1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin2wins
AwayPitsyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin50%2 of 4
AwayPitsyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S2Fomin3Pitsyk7n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S3Fomin3Pitsyk7n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S4Fomin3Pitsyk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominPitsykF − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.8−4.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 554 vs 315 / 58448.7%53.9%270 / 554 vs 315 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykFomin 2.75/Pitsyk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 02:35M. Fomin—51181182S. Pitsyk—119117113
LJul 30 · 23:05M. Fomin—981161S. Pitsyk—11118113
LJun 30 · 13:25M. Fomin—21680S. Pitsyk—2311113
LJun 11 · 01:05M. Fomin—114871S. Pitsyk—91111113
WMay 22 · 02:35M. Fomin—11129113S. Pitsyk—8101191
LMay 14 · 14:35M. Fomin—47111152S. Pitsyk—111139113
LMay 13 · 13:25M. Fomin—129871S. Pitsyk—101111113
LMay 11 · 02:35M. Fomin—10760S. Pitsyk—1211113
LMay 6 · 16:35M. Fomin—8890S. Pitsyk—1111113
WMay 3 · 23:35M. Fomin—1111113S. Pitsyk—5760
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
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