TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067393
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14126111199111210
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 64.1%
105 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 12–33 Dmitriy Kim Mykyta Fomin has won 12 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-33 in 45
Kim
Wrong
gap of 21 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1464 vs Kim 1558
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Kim 70%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -2 · Kim +3
Kim
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.25 / Kim 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kim)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067393
Fomin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 93 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 79
Kim1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin3wins
AwayKim7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin50%2 of 4
AwayKim83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Fomin3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S3Fomin3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Fomin4Kim3n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7
S5Fomin1Kim2n = 3Kim took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominKimF − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.4−3.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKimBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 551 vs 485 / 100848.6%48.1%268 / 551 vs 485 / 1008Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimFomin 2.25/Kim 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin—7990D. Kim—1111113
WAug 30 · 21:35M. Fomin—11711113D. Kim—111971
LAug 25 · 24:35M. Fomin—411491D. Kim—11711113
LAug 21 · 04:05M. Fomin—7780D. Kim—1111113
LAug 19 · 14:25M. Fomin—6101111102D. Kim—111275123
LAug 18 · 24:35M. Fomin—111151162D. Kim—913119113
WAug 13 · 21:35M. Fomin—111155113D. Kim—96111182
WAug 13 · 24:35M. Fomin—61211113D. Kim—1110481
LAug 10 · 22:05M. Fomin—117971D. Kim—61111113
LAug 6 · 23:05M. Fomin—9880D. Kim—1111113
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101WSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
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