TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051380
Played Sep 1Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 60.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 11–29 Dmitriy Kim Mykyta Fomin has won 11 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-29 in 40
Kim
Correct
gap of 18 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1498 vs Kim 1505
Kim
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 80% vs Kim 60%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +3 · Kim -2
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.25 / Kim 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kim)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13051380
Fomin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 89 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 78
Kim1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin3wins
AwayKim7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin40%2 of 5
AwayKim80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S2Fomin4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Fomin1Kim9n = 10Kim took 9 of 10
S4Fomin2Kim5n = 7Kim took 5 of 7
S5Fomin2Kim1n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominKimF − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.639.5−5.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKimBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 544 vs 483 / 100648.9%48%266 / 544 vs 483 / 1006Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimFomin 2.25/Kim 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 24:35M. Fomin—111151162D. Kim—913119113
WAug 13 · 21:35M. Fomin—111155113D. Kim—96111182
WAug 13 · 24:35M. Fomin—61211113D. Kim—1110481
LAug 10 · 22:05M. Fomin—117971D. Kim—61111113
LAug 6 · 23:05M. Fomin—9880D. Kim—1111113
WAug 6 · 04:05M. Fomin—111164113D. Kim—79111162
LAug 3 · 22:05M. Fomin—411831D. Kim—11611113
LJul 30 · 21:05M. Fomin—2990D. Kim—1111113
LJul 19 · 21:35M. Fomin—85110D. Kim—1111133
LJul 16 · 22:05M. Fomin—1171091D. Kim—71112113
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101
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