TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067602
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161141210––––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 43–37 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-37 in 80
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1515 vs Kim 1544
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +2 · Kim -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kim)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067602
Sokoltsov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 88 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 67 of 89
Kim1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 152 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back33% 67 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov7wins
AwayKim3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov85.7%6 of 7
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Kim3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov6Kim4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Kim4n = 8split evenly
S5Sokoltsov4Kim1n = 5Sokoltsov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKimS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.8+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 517 vs 485 / 100948.7%48.1%252 / 517 vs 485 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimSokoltsov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—561111102D. Kim—111179123
WAug 27 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—912711113D. Kim—111011742
WAug 24 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—115117113D. Kim—51191172
WAug 21 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113D. Kim—6890
WAug 16 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—11117113D. Kim—441181
LAug 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—45100D. Kim—1111123
WAug 11 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—111189113D. Kim—95111152
WAug 6 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111109123D. Kim—911211102
WAug 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—11118113D. Kim—691151
LJul 30 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—1167121D. Kim—71111143
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123
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