TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061149
Played Sep 2Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5116111171191012
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 42–36 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 36 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-36 in 78
Sokoltsov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1502 vs Kim 1526
Kim
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -1 · Kim +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13061149
Sokoltsov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 89
Kim1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 150 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back33% 66 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov6wins
AwayKim4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov66.7%6 of 9
AwayKimn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov9Kim1n = 10Sokoltsov took 9 of 10
S2Sokoltsov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov3Kim5n = 8Kim took 5 of 8
S5Sokoltsov3Kim2n = 5Sokoltsov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKimS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.6+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 511 vs 481 / 100348.7%48%249 / 511 vs 481 / 1003Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—115117113D. Kim—51191172
WAug 21 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113D. Kim—6890
WAug 16 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—11117113D. Kim—441181
LAug 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—45100D. Kim—1111123
WAug 11 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—111189113D. Kim—95111152
WAug 6 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111109123D. Kim—911211102
WAug 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—11118113D. Kim—691151
LJul 30 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—1167121D. Kim—71111143
LJul 28 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—115512112D. Kim—8111110133
LJul 24 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—11411962D. Kim—811711113
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
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