TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067583
Played Sep 3Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711911811––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 55.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 98–108 Dmitriy Kim Hryhorii Kulishov has won 98 of their 206 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-108 in 206
Kim
Correct
gap of 10 in 206, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1613 vs Kim 1544
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 80% vs Kim 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 80% vs Kim 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov +1 · Kim +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067583
Kulishov1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 186 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it74% 140 of 189
Kim1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 152 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back33% 67 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov5wins
AwayKim5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov62.5%5 of 8
AwayKimn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov8Kim2n = 10Kulishov took 8 of 10
S2Kulishov6Kim4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kulishov4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Kulishov2Kim4n = 6Kim took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovKimKulishov − KimBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.0+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 930 vs 484 / 100751.5%48.1%479 / 930 vs 484 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 02:05H. Kulishov—5118101D. Kim—11911123
LAug 27 · 23:05H. Kulishov—913100D. Kim—1115123
WAug 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov—11119113D. Kim—941171
WAug 19 · 16:55H. Kulishov—11116153D. Kim—4611131
LAug 16 · 23:05H. Kulishov—11912842D. Kim—4111011113
WAug 13 · 22:35H. Kulishov—1211113D. Kim—10870
LAug 12 · 22:05H. Kulishov—117981D. Kim—31111113
LAug 10 · 23:05H. Kulishov—1169121D. Kim—71111143
WAug 10 · 02:05H. Kulishov—1511113D. Kim—13980
WAug 7 · 24:05H. Kulishov—1111113D. Kim—8870
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113WSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113
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