TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067584
Played Sep 3Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118611711––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 56.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 28–32 Serhii Pitsyk Hryhorii Kulishov has won 28 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-32 in 60
Pitsyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1598 vs Pitsyk 1564
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 60% vs Pitsyk 80%
Pitsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 70% vs Pitsyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -1 · Pitsyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.67 / Pitsyk 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kulishov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067584
Kulishov1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 186 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it74% 140 of 189
Pitsyk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov9wins
AwayPitsyk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov100%8 of 8
AwayPitsykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov8Pitsyk2n = 10Kulishov took 8 of 10
S2Kulishov7Pitsyk3n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Kulishov7Pitsyk3n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Kulishov4Pitsyk2n = 6Kulishov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovPitsykK − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.930.4+7.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 931 vs 314 / 58451.5%53.8%479 / 931 vs 314 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.67/Pitsyk 2.10
Miss
What we said
57%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 01:25H. Kulishov—11119113S. Pitsyk—881171
WAug 24 · 04:05H. Kulishov—11611113S. Pitsyk—111671
WAug 17 · 16:25H. Kulishov—1113113S. Pitsyk—91190
LAug 9 · 22:05H. Kulishov—931141S. Pitsyk—11115113
WAug 3 · 02:35H. Kulishov—118117113S. Pitsyk—91191162
WJul 31 · 04:05H. Kulishov—811611113S. Pitsyk—11611752
WJul 26 · 21:05H. Kulishov—1111113S. Pitsyk—9770
WJul 13 · 01:05H. Kulishov—11119113S. Pitsyk—451181
WJul 5 · 22:05H. Kulishov—1111113S. Pitsyk—9690
WJul 3 · 24:05H. Kulishov—1111113S. Pitsyk—4940
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
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