TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067713
Played Sep 3Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119511118––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:39 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 54.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 20–22 Serhii Pitsyk Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:39What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pitsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-22 in 42
Pitsyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1474 vs Pitsyk 1579
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 20% vs Pitsyk 100%
Pitsyk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 30% vs Pitsyk 60%
Pitsyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -2 · Pitsyk +5
Pitsyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.00 / Pitsyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Pitsyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067713
Sokoltsov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 59 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Pitsyk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov4wins
AwayPitsyk6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov42.9%3 of 7
AwayPitsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Pitsyk3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov5Pitsyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Sokoltsov3Pitsyk5n = 8Pitsyk took 5 of 8
S5Sokoltsov2Pitsyk4n = 6Pitsyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovPitsykS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.142.9−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 515 vs 315 / 58448.5%53.9%250 / 515 vs 315 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykSokoltsov 2.00/Pitsyk 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—11413113S. Pitsyk—8111191
LJul 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—1011771S. Pitsyk—12611113
LJul 5 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—14912422S. Pitsyk—12111011113
LJun 22 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—11117492S. Pitsyk—991111113
LJun 8 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov—1111511112S. Pitsyk—771113133
WMay 24 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—671411113S. Pitsyk—111112962
WMay 10 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—119119113S. Pitsyk—51171122
WApr 29 · 17:25Y. Sokoltsov—1111113S. Pitsyk—9990
LApr 27 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—111031162S. Pitsyk—512118113
LApr 8 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—65100S. Pitsyk—1111123
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
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