TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061006
Played Sep 2Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12101012711811––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 68.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 33–52 Hryhorii Kulishov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 33 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-52 in 85
Kulishov
Correct
gap of 19 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1511 vs Kulishov 1596
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Kulishov +3
Kulishov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.63 / Kulishov 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kulishov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061006
Sokoltsov2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Kulishov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 182 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it74% 138 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKulishov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov3Kulishov5n = 8Kulishov took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKulishovS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.8−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 510 vs 475 / 92548.8%51.4%249 / 510 vs 475 / 925Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovSokoltsov 2.63/Kulishov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—1011911113H. Kulishov—12911682
LAug 17 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—711291H. Kulishov—11811113
LAug 12 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov—114841H. Kulishov—91111113
LAug 10 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—5640H. Kulishov—1111113
LAug 7 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—9111021H. Kulishov—11912113
LAug 3 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—591181H. Kulishov—11117113
WJul 30 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—12811113H. Kulishov—1011981
LJul 27 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—851151H. Kulishov—11111113
LJul 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—5960H. Kulishov—1111113
WJul 20 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—116611123H. Kulishov—911117102
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
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