TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084345
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3116111012––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 53 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 75.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 0–3 Hryhorii Kulishov Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Kulishov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1374 vs Kulishov 1599
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 20% vs Kulishov 40%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 20% vs Kulishov 60%
Kulishov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -4 · Kulishov +2
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 3.75 / Kulishov 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084345
Skliar3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Kulishov1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 187 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it74% 141 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkliar0wins
AwayKulishov3wins
Kulishov leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar2Kulishov1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S2Skliar0Kulishov3n = 3Kulishov took 3 of 3
S3Skliar0Kulishov3n = 3Kulishov took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkliarKulishovS − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match27.339.3−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 109 vs 481 / 93552.3%51.4%57 / 109 vs 481 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovSkliar 3.75/Kulishov 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar—8650H. Kulishov—1111113
LSep 1 · 02:05M. Skliar—1154101H. Kulishov—91111123
LAug 28 · 04:05M. Skliar—1110751H. Kulishov—81211113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113
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