TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061923
Played Sep 3Finished
Danylo Us
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181311––––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:13 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDanylo Us to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Danylo Us at 58.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 1–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:13What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Us
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Us 1396 vs Skliar 1396
Skliar
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 20% vs Skliar 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 20% vs Skliar 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Us -1 · Skliar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Us)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 1.57 / Skliar 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Us)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061923
Us1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 37 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it68% 27 of 40
Skliar2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 13 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUs1wins
AwaySkliar0wins
Us leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricUsSkliarU − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.035.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 475 vs 57 / 10741.9%53.3%199 / 475 vs 57 / 107Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsUs 1.57/Skliar 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 21:05D. Us—11118113M. Skliar—881181
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us1.67711811113A. Peretiatko2.1011611952LAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.6791411113D. Us2.101112561LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143LAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
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