TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13014967
Played Aug 26Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111412115116––
Danylo Us
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 79 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 58.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 10–8 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1482 vs Us 1414
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Us 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Us 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -1 · Us -3
Us
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sokoltsov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.67 / Us 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13014967
Sokoltsov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 87 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 68 of 91
Us2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 54 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov6wins
AwayUs4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov83.3%5 of 6
AwayUs75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov4Us6n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S4Sokoltsov3Us2n = 5Sokoltsov took 3 of 5
S5Sokoltsov3Us2n = 5Sokoltsov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovUsS − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.5+2.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovUsBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 511 vs 200 / 48149.3%41.6%252 / 511 vs 200 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.67/Us 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov—111011672D. Us—712411113
WJul 10 · 17:25Y. Sokoltsov—1071112113D. Us—121171052
WJun 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111163D. Us—68140
WJun 8 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov—1311113D. Us—11970
WMay 6 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—1171211113D. Us—71114652
LApr 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—91251192D. Us—1110116113
LMar 3 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—1211110D. Us—1413133
WFeb 11 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov—115137113D. Us—611111192
WFeb 10 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—1113113D. Us—71180
LFeb 6 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—94100D. Us—1111123
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us1.67711811113A. Peretiatko2.1011611952LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143LAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
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