TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13001097
Played Aug 25Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111191311117––
Danylo Us
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 58.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 23–26 Danylo Us Dmitriy Kim has won 23 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:29What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Us
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-26 in 49
Us
Wrong
gap of 3 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1528 vs Us 1430
Kim
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Us 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 60% vs Us 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -1 · Us -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.83 / Us 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kim)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13001097
Kim1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Us1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim6wins
AwayUs4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim50%3 of 6
AwayUs25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim6Us4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Kim7Us3n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S3Kim4Us6n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S4Kim6Us3n = 9Kim took 6 of 9
S5Kim2Us3n = 5Us took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimUsK − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.540.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimUsBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 1011 vs 200 / 47948.1%41.8%486 / 1011 vs 200 / 479Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.83/Us 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 24:05D. Kim—9111211113D. Us—11514692
WJul 7 · 04:05D. Kim—11118113D. Us—971171
WJul 2 · 21:35D. Kim—1111183D. Us—65160
LJun 29 · 04:05D. Kim—912117102D. Us—1110311123
WJun 23 · 04:05D. Kim—91111123D. Us—1198101
WJun 18 · 03:35D. Kim—811811113D. Us—11711962
LJun 4 · 23:05D. Kim—11971142D. Us—811117113
LMay 15 · 02:05D. Kim—1157111D. Us—71111133
WMay 7 · 03:35D. Kim—11115113D. Us—471151
LApr 13 · 01:05D. Kim—11714672D. Us—3111211113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us1.67711811113A. Peretiatko2.1011611952LAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.6791411113D. Us2.101112561LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143
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