TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061269
Played Sep 2Finished
Danylo Us
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1195114111171113
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 93 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 54.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 26–27 Dmitriy Kim Danylo Us has won 26 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-27 in 53
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Us 1395 vs Kim 1519
Kim
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 20% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 40% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Us -2 · Kim +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 1.91 / Kim 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kim)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061269
Us1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Kim1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUs1wins
AwayKim9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUs16.7%1 of 6
AwayKim100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Us6Kim4n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S2Us1Kim9n = 10Kim took 9 of 10
S3Us3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Us1Kim7n = 8Kim took 7 of 8
S5Us1Kim2n = 3Kim took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUsKimU − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.543.4−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsKimBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 475 vs 480 / 100241.9%47.9%199 / 475 vs 480 / 1002Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimUs 1.91/Kim 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.7%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us—7119121D. Kim—11811143
LAug 25 · 03:35D. Us—1191171D. Kim—41113113
LAug 9 · 21:35D. Us—5480D. Kim—1111113
LAug 6 · 24:35D. Us—117991D. Kim—91111113
LJul 10 · 24:05D. Us—11514692D. Kim—9111211113
LJul 7 · 04:05D. Us—971171D. Kim—11118113
LJul 2 · 21:35D. Us—65160D. Kim—1111183
WJun 29 · 04:05D. Us—1110311123D. Kim—912117102
LJun 23 · 04:05D. Us—1198101D. Kim—91111123
LJun 18 · 03:35D. Us—11711962D. Kim—811811113
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us1.67711811113A. Peretiatko2.1011611952LAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.6791411113D. Us2.101112561LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143LAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143WAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
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