TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015171
Played Aug 27Finished
Danylo Us
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116811119115
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 24–14 Andrii Peretiatko Andrii Peretiatko has won 14 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Us
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-14 in 38
Us
Correct
gap of 10 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Us 1404 vs Peretiatko 1485
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 20% vs Peretiatko 60%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 50% vs Peretiatko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Us -4 · Peretiatko -1
Us
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Us) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 1.67 / Peretiatko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Us)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13015171
Us1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 36 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Peretiatko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 84 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUs6wins
AwayPeretiatko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUs leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUs83.3%5 of 6
AwayPeretiatko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Us6Peretiatko4n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S2Us4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S3Us7Peretiatko3n = 10Us took 7 of 10
S4Us4Peretiatko4n = 8split evenly
S5Us2Peretiatko1n = 3Us took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUsPeretiatkoU − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.3+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 482 vs 350 / 74941.5%46.7%200 / 482 vs 350 / 749Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsUs 1.67/Peretiatko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 03:35D. Us—9101151A. Peretiatko—11126113
LJul 6 · 22:05D. Us—711591A. Peretiatko—11711113
LJul 3 · 01:05D. Us—691191A. Peretiatko—11117113
WJun 28 · 22:05D. Us—11811113A. Peretiatko—911981
WJun 23 · 02:35D. Us—11119113A. Peretiatko—981161
LJun 18 · 13:25D. Us—115911102A. Peretiatko—711116123
WJun 18 · 01:05D. Us—118158113A. Peretiatko—911131182
WJun 5 · 02:35D. Us—961111133A. Peretiatko—111169112
WApr 25 · 23:05D. Us—1112113A. Peretiatko—61090
WApr 10 · 01:35D. Us—1111113A. Peretiatko—8570
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110LAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.6791411113D. Us2.101112561LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143LAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981
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