TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061072
Played Sep 3Finished
Danylo Us
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511711––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 12–8 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Us
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Us 1403 vs Kulishov 1613
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 40% vs Kulishov 100%
Kulishov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 30% vs Kulishov 70%
Kulishov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Us +1 · Kulishov +5
Kulishov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 2.25 / Kulishov 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13061072
Us2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Kulishov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 182 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it74% 138 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUs5wins
AwayKulishov5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUs80%4 of 5
AwayKulishov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Us5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S2Us5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S3Us7Kulishov3n = 10Us took 7 of 10
S4Us4Kulishov3n = 7Us took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricUsKulishovU − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.6−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 475 vs 477 / 92741.9%51.5%199 / 475 vs 477 / 927Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovUs 2.25/Kulishov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 04:05D. Us—411251H. Kulishov—11611113
WAug 5 · 23:35D. Us—1114113H. Kulishov—41290
WJul 9 · 23:05D. Us—1113113H. Kulishov—71140
LJul 7 · 02:05D. Us—1091181H. Kulishov—12117113
WJul 3 · 02:05D. Us—11311113H. Kulishov—611891
WJun 29 · 02:05D. Us—11911113H. Kulishov—911881
LJun 22 · 21:35D. Us—13119892H. Kulishov—1191111113
LJun 5 · 03:35D. Us—510111232H. Kulishov—1112810113
WApr 12 · 21:05D. Us—31116133H. Kulishov—11514111
LMar 27 · 02:05D. Us—6960H. Kulishov—1111113
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us1.67711811113A. Peretiatko2.1011611952LAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.6791411113D. Us2.101112561LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143LAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
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