TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084882
Played Sep 7Finished
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311118119119––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Stepanchuk above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 58.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Stepanchuk 32–25 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 25 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:18What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-25 in 57
Stepanchuk
Correct
gap of 7 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stepanchuk 1442 vs Kulishov 1591
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stepanchuk 20% vs Kulishov 60%
Kulishov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stepanchuk 20% vs Kulishov 50%
Kulishov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stepanchuk -3 · Kulishov -1
Stepanchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepanchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepanchuk 2.10 / Kulishov 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084882
Stepanchuk2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Kulishov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 187 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it74% 141 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepanchuk5wins
AwayKulishov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepanchuk57.1%4 of 7
AwayKulishov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepanchuk7Kulishov3n = 10Stepanchuk took 7 of 10
S2Stepanchuk5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S3Stepanchuk3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Stepanchuk3Kulishov5n = 8Kulishov took 5 of 8
S5Stepanchuk2Kulishov1n = 3Stepanchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepanchukKulishovS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.0−2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepanchukKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 616 vs 482 / 93747.6%51.4%293 / 616 vs 482 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovStepanchuk 2.10/Kulishov 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.2%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stepanchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk—7760H. Kulishov—1111113
WAug 23 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk—111211113H. Kulishov—614591
WAug 19 · 13:55Y. Stepanchuk—1111113H. Kulishov—7880
WAug 17 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk—111310113H. Kulishov—4111281
WAug 14 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk—911911133H. Kulishov—119116112
LAug 9 · 23:05Y. Stepanchuk—11115642H. Kulishov—691111113
WAug 6 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk—1110123113H. Kulishov—312101192
LAug 3 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk—1610781H. Kulishov—141211113
LJul 31 · 24:33Y. Stepanchuk—712641H. Kulishov—111011113
LJul 27 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk—126651H. Kulishov—101111113
Y. Stepanchuk10
LSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113LSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113LSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 01:35O. Melashenko1.3611661192Y. Stepanchuk3.00711116113LSep 2 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk5.503660K. Hrynenko1.131111113WSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk3.251110381D. Derevynskyi1.3391211113LAug 31 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk1.8381271162D. Kim1.831110119113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.