TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055756
Played Sep 2Finished
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611611––––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Stepanchuk above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 85.8%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Stepanchuk 0–3 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Yaroslav Stepanchuk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:05What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stepanchuk 1469 vs Hrynenko 1687
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stepanchuk 20% vs Hrynenko 100%
Hrynenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stepanchuk 40% vs Hrynenko 90%
Hrynenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stepanchuk +1 · Hrynenko +5
Hrynenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepanchuk 5.50 / Hrynenko 1.13
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Hrynenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055756
Stepanchuk5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Hrynenko1.13
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStepanchuk0wins
AwayHrynenko3wins
Hrynenko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepanchukn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHrynenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepanchuk0Hrynenko3n = 3Hrynenko took 3 of 3
S2Stepanchuk0Hrynenko3n = 3Hrynenko took 3 of 3
S3Stepanchuk0Hrynenko3n = 3Hrynenko took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricStepanchukHrynenkoS − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match22.734.0−11.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepanchukHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 621 vs 422 / 90348%46.7%298 / 621 vs 422 / 903Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoStepanchuk 5.50/Hrynenko 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 12 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk—89110K. Hrynenko—1111133
LJul 29 · 13:25Y. Stepanchuk—7270K. Hrynenko—1111113
LJul 25 · 02:25Y. Stepanchuk—10680K. Hrynenko—1211113
Y. Stepanchuk10
LSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961WSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113LSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113LSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 01:35O. Melashenko1.3611661192Y. Stepanchuk3.00711116113WSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk3.251110381D. Derevynskyi1.3391211113LAug 31 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk1.8381271162D. Kim1.831110119113
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123
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