TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078895
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117611511811––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 56.6%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 54–42 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 42 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-42 in 96
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1611 vs Hrynenko 1645
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 20% vs Hrynenko 60%
Hrynenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 40% vs Hrynenko 60%
Hrynenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -1 · Hrynenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.61 / Hrynenko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Gomilko)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13078895
Gomilko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 120 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it77% 87 of 113
Hrynenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 153 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko7wins
AwayHrynenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko75%6 of 8
AwayHrynenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko8Hrynenko2n = 10Gomilko took 8 of 10
S2Gomilko5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Gomilko6Hrynenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S4Gomilko4Hrynenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Gomilko2Hrynenko1n = 3Gomilko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoHrynenkoG − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.1+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 570 vs 423 / 90356.5%46.8%322 / 570 vs 423 / 903Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.61/Hrynenko 2.20
Miss
What we said
55.7%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:35O. Gomilko—1112123K. Hrynenko—910100
WAug 30 · 02:05O. Gomilko—1111113K. Hrynenko—6890
WAug 28 · 21:35O. Gomilko—121211113K. Hrynenko—1014441
WAug 23 · 01:05O. Gomilko—101111113K. Hrynenko—129491
LAug 22 · 24:35O. Gomilko—1311881K. Hrynenko—15511113
LAug 15 · 22:35O. Gomilko—12911101K. Hrynenko—101113123
LAug 15 · 02:35O. Gomilko—11631132K. Hrynenko—511116113
WAug 7 · 22:05O. Gomilko—1111119113K. Hrynenko—71381192
WAug 2 · 03:35O. Gomilko—145129133K. Hrynenko—12111011112
WJul 25 · 04:05O. Gomilko—11127123K. Hrynenko—71011101
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141LSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123LAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123WSep 2 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi1.57711111692K. Hrynenko2.25114518113
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