TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073999
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412117611114––
Oleksandr Gomilko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:01 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Oleksandr Gomilko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 54.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 39–31 Oleksandr Gomilko Oleksandr Gomilko has won 31 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-31 in 70
Melashenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1512 vs Gomilko 1644
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 40% vs Gomilko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 50% vs Gomilko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko +2 · Gomilko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gomilko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.91 / Gomilko 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gomilko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073999
Melashenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 106 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back22% 39 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 93
Gomilko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 119 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko6wins
AwayGomilko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko100%3 of 3
AwayGomilko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko3Gomilko7n = 10Gomilko took 7 of 10
S2Melashenko4Gomilko6n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Melashenko6Gomilko4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Melashenko6Gomilko2n = 8Melashenko took 6 of 8
S5Melashenko3Gomilko2n = 5Melashenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoGomilkoM − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.7+0.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoGomilkoBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 853 vs 321 / 56650.8%56.7%433 / 853 vs 321 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoMelashenko 1.91/Gomilko 1.80
Miss
What we said
55.1%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 02:05O. Melashenko—6270O. Gomilko—1111113
WAug 22 · 02:35O. Melashenko—11811113O. Gomilko—711851
WAug 14 · 21:35O. Melashenko—11115113O. Gomilko—651191
WAug 7 · 23:05O. Melashenko—951114113O. Gomilko—111151292
LAug 2 · 01:05O. Melashenko—1012101152O. Gomilko—1210126113
WJul 26 · 03:35O. Melashenko—1112118113O. Gomilko—131031152
WJul 24 · 23:05O. Melashenko—11511123O. Gomilko—7118101
LJul 19 · 01:05O. Melashenko—9960O. Gomilko—1111113
WJul 17 · 22:05O. Melashenko—811117113O. Gomilko—11671182
LJul 12 · 01:35O. Melashenko—136111132O. Gomilko—151166113
O. Melashenko10
LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101LSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123LAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
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