TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079228
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121194111012––
Yan Krol
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Yan Krol below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 55.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 92–75 Yan Krol Yan Krol has won 75 of their 167 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
92-75 in 167
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 17 in 167, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1616 vs Krol 1536
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 40% vs Krol 20%
Gomilko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 40% vs Krol 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko +1 · Krol -4
Krol
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krol form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.67 / Krol 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Gomilko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13079228
Gomilko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 120 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it77% 87 of 113
Krol2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 65 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko6wins
AwayKrol4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko66.7%4 of 6
AwayKrol50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko6Krol4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko4Krol6n = 10Krol took 6 of 10
S3Gomilko6Krol4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S4Gomilko4Krol3n = 7Gomilko took 4 of 7
S5Gomilko2Krol1n = 3Gomilko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoKrolG − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.6+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoKrolBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 569 vs 297 / 58956.4%50.4%321 / 569 vs 297 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.67/Krol 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 22:35O. Gomilko—61090Y. Krol—1112113
WAug 29 · 21:35O. Gomilko—1111113Y. Krol—9970
WAug 28 · 22:35O. Gomilko—1111113Y. Krol—8790
WAug 22 · 21:35O. Gomilko—11711113Y. Krol—711441
LAug 21 · 22:35O. Gomilko—1177101Y. Krol—81111123
WAug 16 · 01:35O. Gomilko—5131011123Y. Krol—1111123102
LAug 14 · 22:35O. Gomilko—1071161Y. Krol—12115113
WAug 8 · 23:05O. Gomilko—411512113Y. Krol—119111092
LAug 8 · 24:05O. Gomilko—11813592Y. Krol—8111111113
WAug 1 · 23:05O. Gomilko—111011113Y. Krol—812891
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141LSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123LAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
Y. Krol10
WSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872LSep 6 · 24:05V. Lobas1.67111176113Y. Krol2.1094111192LSep 5 · 23:05Y. Krol1.831133111M. Marchuk1.8331111133LSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990LSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113WSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101LSep 5 · 24:05Y. Krol1.911010100V. Lobas1.801212123WSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090LSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113LAug 30 · 04:05K. Hrynenko2.101212133Y. Krol1.671010110
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.