TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079207
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711811––––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 54.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 32–40 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Gomilko has won 32 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-40 in 72
Melashenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1630 vs Melashenko 1509
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 40% vs Melashenko 60%
Melashenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 50% vs Melashenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko +1 · Melashenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gomilko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.83 / Melashenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gomilko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079207
Gomilko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Melashenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko4wins
AwayMelashenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMelashenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko6Melashenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko6Melashenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Gomilko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Gomilko2Melashenko6n = 8Melashenko took 6 of 8
S5Gomilko1Melashenko2n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoG − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.3−0.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 569 vs 434 / 85656.6%50.7%322 / 569 vs 434 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.83/Melashenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 24:35O. Gomilko—1271141O. Melashenko—14116113
WAug 29 · 23:35O. Gomilko—11119113O. Melashenko—781171
WAug 23 · 02:05O. Gomilko—1111113O. Melashenko—6270
LAug 22 · 02:35O. Gomilko—711851O. Melashenko—11811113
LAug 14 · 21:35O. Gomilko—651191O. Melashenko—11115113
LAug 7 · 23:05O. Gomilko—111151292O. Melashenko—951114113
WAug 2 · 01:05O. Gomilko—1210126113O. Melashenko—1012101152
LJul 26 · 03:35O. Gomilko—131031152O. Melashenko—1112118113
LJul 24 · 23:05O. Gomilko—7118101O. Melashenko—11511123
WJul 19 · 01:05O. Gomilko—1111113O. Melashenko—9960
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141LSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123LAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
O. Melashenko10
LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101LSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123
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