TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055585
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171177116111012
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 23–36 Serhii Khandetskyi Oleksandr Melashenko has won 23 of their 59 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-36 in 59
Khandetskyi
Correct
gap of 13 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1489 vs Khandetskyi 1514
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 20% vs Khandetskyi 40%
Khandetskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 50% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko -3 · Khandetskyi -1
Melashenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khandetskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 2.10 / Khandetskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13055585
Melashenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 107 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back22% 39 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 92
Khandetskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 62 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 46 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko5wins
AwayKhandetskyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko75%3 of 4
AwayKhandetskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Melashenko6Khandetskyi4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S3Melashenko4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S4Melashenko3Khandetskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Melashenko2Khandetskyi1n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoKhandetskyiM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.237.6−1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 851 vs 395 / 79850.7%49.5%431 / 851 vs 395 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiMelashenko 2.10/Khandetskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko—7118121S. Khandetskyi—11711143
LAug 25 · 16:25O. Melashenko—31070S. Khandetskyi—1112113
WAug 18 · 15:55O. Melashenko—1311113S. Khandetskyi—11890
WAug 17 · 16:55O. Melashenko—11119113S. Khandetskyi—661191
LAug 5 · 13:55O. Melashenko—7390S. Khandetskyi—1111113
WAug 3 · 20:25O. Melashenko—611118133S. Khandetskyi—117211112
LJul 29 · 18:25O. Melashenko—512891S. Khandetskyi—111011113
WJun 10 · 14:55O. Melashenko—491111113S. Khandetskyi—11118992
LJun 10 · 02:04O. Melashenko—11581172S. Khandetskyi—711118113
WJun 10 · 01:05O. Melashenko—1111153S. Khandetskyi—57130
O. Melashenko10
LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181WAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WAug 27 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi1.911111113S. Pitsyk1.804850
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