TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049601
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7113111214––––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 58 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 0–1 Serhii Khandetskyi Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1436 vs Khandetskyi 1504
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 60% vs Khandetskyi 20%
Rehotun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 60% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun +1 · Khandetskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khandetskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 1.83 / Khandetskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049601
Rehotun1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Khandetskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRehotun0wins
AwayKhandetskyi1wins
Khandetskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRehotunKhandetskyiR − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.041.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 825 vs 393 / 79345.5%49.6%375 / 825 vs 393 / 793Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiRehotun 1.83/Khandetskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 16 · 19:25D. Rehotun—5111061S. Khandetskyi—11712113
D. Rehotun10
WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113WMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk—6980D. Rehotun—1111113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181WAug 27 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi1.911111113S. Pitsyk1.804850
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