TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13024008
Played Aug 27Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118115––––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 35–36 Serhii Pitsyk Serhii Khandetskyi has won 35 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pitsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-36 in 71
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1488 vs Pitsyk 1533
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 20% vs Pitsyk 40%
Pitsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Pitsyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -4 · Pitsyk -2
Khandetskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.91 / Pitsyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pitsyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13024008
Khandetskyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 105 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back30% 31 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 50
Pitsyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 119 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it80% 84 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi6wins
AwayPitsyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi100%5 of 5
AwayPitsyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi5Pitsyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Khandetskyi6Pitsyk4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S3Khandetskyi5Pitsyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Khandetskyi3Pitsyk4n = 7Pitsyk took 4 of 7
S5Khandetskyi2Pitsyk1n = 3Khandetskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiPitsykK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.238.0−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 803 vs 315 / 59349.3%53.1%396 / 803 vs 315 / 593Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykKhandetskyi 1.91/Pitsyk 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 18:25S. Khandetskyi—81611113S. Pitsyk—1114971
WAug 20 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi—111184113S. Pitsyk—78111152
LAug 17 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi—511771S. Pitsyk—11411113
LAug 12 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—51150S. Pitsyk—1113113
LAug 4 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi—71114792S. Pitsyk—1181211113
WJul 8 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi—116117113S. Pitsyk—91181162
WJun 30 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi—11211113S. Pitsyk—811961
WJun 22 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi—20117113S. Pitsyk—1891151
LJun 18 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi—6760S. Pitsyk—1111113
WJun 16 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi—1111113S. Pitsyk—9710
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181WAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.