TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049580
Played Aug 31Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1184111311108––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-8
Point 76 set 4, 10-8 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 34–36 Serhii Khandetskyi Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 34 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-36 in 70
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1512 vs Khandetskyi 1523
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 80% vs Khandetskyi 40%
Sokoltsov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -1 · Khandetskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khandetskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.00 / Khandetskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13049580
Sokoltsov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Khandetskyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 61 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it69% 45 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov3wins
AwayKhandetskyi7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov50%2 of 4
AwayKhandetskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov7Khandetskyi3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov1Khandetskyi7n = 8Khandetskyi took 7 of 8
S5Sokoltsov2Khandetskyi4n = 6Khandetskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKhandetskyiS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.542.3−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 511 vs 394 / 79449.3%49.6%252 / 511 vs 394 / 794Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiSokoltsov 2.00/Khandetskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov—6870S. Khandetskyi—1111113
LJul 10 · 01:25Y. Sokoltsov—8111161S. Khandetskyi—11138113
WJul 8 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—1110118113S. Khandetskyi—81281172
LJul 6 · 16:25Y. Sokoltsov—61114682S. Khandetskyi—1171211113
LJun 23 · 13:55Y. Sokoltsov—11118892S. Khandetskyi—951111113
WJun 8 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov—611115123S. Khandetskyi—113911102
LMay 20 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—71112762S. Khandetskyi—1191011113
LMay 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—11751332S. Khandetskyi—4111111113
WMay 7 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113S. Khandetskyi—9270
LApr 15 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—881181S. Khandetskyi—11117113
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WAug 27 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi1.911111113S. Pitsyk1.804850
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