TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055900
Played Sep 1Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121181188111012
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 65.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 6–8 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Serhii Khandetskyi has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1537 vs Hrynenko 1673
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Hrynenko 100%
Hrynenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Hrynenko 90%
Hrynenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +1 · Hrynenko +5
Hrynenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.50 / Hrynenko 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hrynenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055900
Khandetskyi2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 99 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Hrynenko1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi5wins
AwayHrynenko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayHrynenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi6Hrynenko4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khandetskyi6Hrynenko4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S3Khandetskyi5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Khandetskyi2Hrynenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiHrynenkoK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.232.3+0.9per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 793 vs 421 / 90349.6%46.6%393 / 793 vs 421 / 903Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoKhandetskyi 2.50/Hrynenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 22:53S. Khandetskyi—7840K. Hrynenko—1111113
WAug 25 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—1111133K. Hrynenko—89110
LAug 24 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi—1191171K. Hrynenko—71113113
WAug 19 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi—111211113K. Hrynenko—814651
LAug 17 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi—411971K. Hrynenko—11611113
LAug 12 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi—6670K. Hrynenko—1111113
LAug 5 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi—711101172K. Hrynenko—118129113
WAug 4 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—1111113K. Hrynenko—7390
WAug 3 · 15:25S. Khandetskyi—1111113K. Hrynenko—8990
WJul 29 · 15:25S. Khandetskyi—1111113K. Hrynenko—4960
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181WAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WAug 27 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi1.911111113S. Pitsyk1.804850
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113
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