TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073889
Played Sep 5Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811511––––
Valentyn Lobas
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeValentyn Lobas to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Valentyn Lobas below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Valentyn Lobas at 61.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 10–17 Valentyn Lobas Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lobas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Lobas
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1637 vs Lobas 1639
Lobas
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 40% vs Lobas 60%
Lobas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 70% vs Lobas 50%
Hrynenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +1 · Lobas +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lobas)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.50 / Lobas 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lobas)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13073889
Hrynenko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 153 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back26% 49 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Lobas1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 108 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko6wins
AwayLobas4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrynenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko75%3 of 4
AwayLobas50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko4Lobas6n = 10Lobas took 6 of 10
S2Hrynenko7Lobas3n = 10Hrynenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrynenko4Lobas6n = 10Lobas took 6 of 10
S4Hrynenko3Lobas3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoLobasH − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.834.7−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoLobasBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 902 vs 225 / 39346.8%57.3%422 / 902 vs 225 / 393Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobasHrynenko 2.50/Lobas 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Lobas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lobas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko—8850V. Lobas—1111113
WAug 30 · 24:05K. Hrynenko—11115133V. Lobas—4711111
LAug 29 · 02:05K. Hrynenko—511841V. Lobas—11311113
LAug 22 · 21:05K. Hrynenko—112851V. Lobas—61111113
WAug 21 · 22:05K. Hrynenko—41311113V. Lobas—1111941
WAug 15 · 21:35K. Hrynenko—1012115113V. Lobas—121081152
WAug 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko—615812113V. Lobas—1113111042
WAug 2 · 01:35K. Hrynenko—1111113V. Lobas—3850
WJul 24 · 21:35K. Hrynenko—1112123V. Lobas—710100
LJul 4 · 01:35K. Hrynenko—4740V. Lobas—1111113
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123WSep 2 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi1.57711111692K. Hrynenko2.25114518113
V. Lobas10
LSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143WSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:05V. Lobas1.67111176113Y. Krol2.1094111192LSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:05V. Lobas1.361111113M. Marchuk3.009970LSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123WSep 5 · 24:05Y. Krol1.911010100V. Lobas1.801212123WSep 4 · 23:05V. Lobas1.50761111113D. Derevynskyi2.5011116772LSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101WAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
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