TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055729
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181171113911611
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Dmytro Derevynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 98 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 59.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 5–7 Dmytro Derevynskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Derevynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Derevynskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1524 vs Derevynskyi 1535
Derevynskyi
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Derevynskyi 60%
Derevynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 50% vs Derevynskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +1 · Derevynskyi +3
Derevynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Derevynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.25 / Derevynskyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055729
Khandetskyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 99 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Derevynskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 196 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it90% 91 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it72% 139 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi4wins
AwayDerevynskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi40%2 of 5
AwayDerevynskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi5Derevynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Khandetskyi5Derevynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Khandetskyi3Derevynskyi7n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Khandetskyi3Derevynskyi5n = 8Derevynskyi took 5 of 8
S5Khandetskyi2Derevynskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiDerevynskyiK − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.844.2−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiDerevynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 796 vs 469 / 85649.5%54.8%394 / 796 vs 469 / 856Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiKhandetskyi 2.25/Derevynskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi—511912133D. Derevynskyi—1181110112
LAug 5 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—111192062D. Derevynskyi—791122113
LAug 4 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi—11113672D. Derevynskyi—981111113
WJul 29 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—13126113D. Derevynskyi—11101191
LSep 18 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi—97100D. Derevynskyi—1111123
WSep 16 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi—19914113D. Derevynskyi—17111271
WSep 10 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi—1011116113D. Derevynskyi—12581162
LSep 10 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi—581191D. Derevynskyi—11118113
LAug 14 · 22:55S. Khandetskyi—127491D. Derevynskyi—101111113
LJul 24 · 21:25S. Khandetskyi—7290D. Derevynskyi—1111113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181WAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WAug 27 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi1.911111113S. Pitsyk1.804850
D. Derevynskyi10
WSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113WSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:05V. Lobas1.50761111113D. Derevynskyi2.5011116772WSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113WSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 4 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.80108111132T. Ponomarenko1.91121148113WSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113WSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113
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