TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073765
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118411911811––
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Dmytro Derevynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 64.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 64–29 Dmytro Derevynskyi Dmytro Derevynskyi has won 29 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-29 in 93
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 35 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1628 vs Derevynskyi 1576
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 40% vs Derevynskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 60% vs Derevynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -2 · Derevynskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gomilko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.50 / Derevynskyi 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Gomilko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073765
Gomilko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 119 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Derevynskyi2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 40 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko7wins
AwayDerevynskyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko100%4 of 4
AwayDerevynskyi50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko4Derevynskyi6n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko5Derevynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Gomilko7Derevynskyi3n = 10Gomilko took 7 of 10
S4Gomilko6Derevynskyi3n = 9Gomilko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoDerevynskyiG − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.2+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoDerevynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 567 vs 475 / 86656.6%54.9%321 / 567 vs 475 / 866Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.50/Derevynskyi 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 21:35O. Gomilko—71111113D. Derevynskyi—115781
WAug 15 · 24:35O. Gomilko—1412113D. Derevynskyi—121060
WAug 9 · 02:35O. Gomilko—11814113D. Derevynskyi—7111231
WAug 1 · 24:35O. Gomilko—57111173D. Derevynskyi—11119552
LJul 26 · 01:05O. Gomilko—871121D. Derevynskyi—11117113
WJul 10 · 21:35O. Gomilko—81511183D. Derevynskyi—11138161
WJun 28 · 03:35O. Gomilko—118812113D. Derevynskyi—311111062
LJun 20 · 24:35O. Gomilko—511351D. Derevynskyi—11711113
LJun 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko—971131D. Derevynskyi—11119113
WJun 5 · 23:05O. Gomilko—13117113D. Derevynskyi—1171191
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141LSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123LAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
D. Derevynskyi10
WSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:05V. Lobas1.50761111113D. Derevynskyi2.5011116772WSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113WSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 4 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.80108111132T. Ponomarenko1.91121148113WSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113WSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113LSep 2 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi1.57711111692K. Hrynenko2.25114518113
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