TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073918
Played Sep 4Finished
Yan Krol
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Oleksandr Gomilko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingYan Krol above · Oleksandr Gomilko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 55.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Yan Krol 74–92 Oleksandr Gomilko Yan Krol has won 74 of their 166 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-92 in 166
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 18 in 166, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krol 1565 vs Gomilko 1662
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krol 60% vs Gomilko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krol 50% vs Gomilko 70%
Gomilko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krol -2 · Gomilko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrol 2.00 / Gomilko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gomilko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073918
Krol2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 64 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Gomilko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 119 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrol4wins
AwayGomilko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrol33.3%1 of 3
AwayGomilko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krol3Gomilko7n = 10Gomilko took 7 of 10
S2Krol6Gomilko4n = 10Krol took 6 of 10
S3Krol3Gomilko7n = 10Gomilko took 7 of 10
S4Krol4Gomilko4n = 8split evenly
S5Krol2Gomilko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrolGomilkoK − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.7−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrolGomilkoBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 584 vs 321 / 56550.7%56.8%296 / 584 vs 321 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoKrol 2.00/Gomilko 1.73
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 21:35Y. Krol—9970O. Gomilko—1111113
LAug 28 · 22:35Y. Krol—8790O. Gomilko—1111113
LAug 22 · 21:35Y. Krol—711441O. Gomilko—11711113
WAug 21 · 22:35Y. Krol—81111123O. Gomilko—1177101
LAug 16 · 01:35Y. Krol—1111123102O. Gomilko—5131011123
WAug 14 · 22:35Y. Krol—12115113O. Gomilko—1071161
LAug 8 · 23:05Y. Krol—119111092O. Gomilko—411512113
WAug 8 · 24:05Y. Krol—8111111113O. Gomilko—11813592
LAug 1 · 23:05Y. Krol—812891O. Gomilko—111011113
WJul 31 · 22:35Y. Krol—811811113O. Gomilko—11811452
Y. Krol10
WSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123LSep 6 · 24:05V. Lobas1.67111176113Y. Krol2.1094111192LSep 5 · 23:05Y. Krol1.831133111M. Marchuk1.8331111133LSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990LSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113WSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101LSep 5 · 24:05Y. Krol1.911010100V. Lobas1.801212123LSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113LAug 30 · 04:05K. Hrynenko2.101212133Y. Krol1.671010110
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123LAug 30 · 03:05V. Lobas1.731111113O. Gomilko2.006580
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.