TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061893
Played Sep 3Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117611119116
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 71.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 1–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1492 vs Skliar 1405
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 20% vs Skliar 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Skliar 20%
Sokoltsov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -2 · Skliar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sokoltsov) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.36 / Skliar 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061893
Sokoltsov1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 89
Skliar3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 13 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSokoltsov1wins
AwaySkliar0wins
Sokoltsov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSokoltsovSkliarSokoltsov − SkliarBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 512 vs 57 / 10648.6%53.8%249 / 512 vs 57 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.36/Skliar 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113M. Skliar—7790
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
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