TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084112
Played Sep 7Finished
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911111119116––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Stepanchuk to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Stepanchuk above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yaroslav Stepanchuk at 57.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Stepanchuk 1–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stepanchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stepanchuk 1467 vs Skliar 1347
Stepanchuk
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stepanchuk 40% vs Skliar 0%
Stepanchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stepanchuk 30% vs Skliar 10%
Stepanchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stepanchuk +1 · Skliar -5
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stepanchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepanchuk 1.61 / Skliar 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Stepanchuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084112
Stepanchuk1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 95 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Skliar2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStepanchuk1wins
AwaySkliar0wins
Stepanchuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStepanchukSkliarStepanchuk − SkliarBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.027.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepanchukSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 618 vs 57 / 11347.7%50.4%295 / 618 vs 57 / 113Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepanchukStepanchuk 1.61/Skliar 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Stepanchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stepanchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk—91111113M. Skliar—111961
Y. Stepanchuk10
LSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113LSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113LSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 01:35O. Melashenko1.3611661192Y. Stepanchuk3.00711116113LSep 2 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk5.503660K. Hrynenko1.131111113WSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk3.251110381D. Derevynskyi1.3391211113LAug 31 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk1.8381271162D. Kim1.831110119113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.