TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084408
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711711––––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 65.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 0–3 Andrii Peretiatko Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Peretiatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Peretiatko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1347 vs Peretiatko 1529
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 0% vs Peretiatko 100%
Peretiatko
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 10% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -5 · Peretiatko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Peretiatko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.75 / Peretiatko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Peretiatko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084408
Skliar2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Peretiatko1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it70% 56 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkliar0wins
AwayPeretiatko3wins
Peretiatko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar2Peretiatko1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S2Skliar0Peretiatko3n = 3Peretiatko took 3 of 3
S3Skliar0Peretiatko3n = 3Peretiatko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkliarPeretiatkoS − PBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.340.7−8.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 113 vs 365 / 77650.4%47%57 / 113 vs 365 / 776Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoSkliar 2.75/Peretiatko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar—1210781A. Peretiatko—101211113
LAug 28 · 24:35M. Skliar—1291171A. Peretiatko—101113113
LAug 25 · 03:05M. Skliar—9930A. Peretiatko—1111113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981WSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
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