TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084346
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111012119511––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 68–102 Andrii Peretiatko Dmitriy Kim has won 68 of their 170 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Peretiatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-102 in 170
Peretiatko
Correct
gap of 34 in 170, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1534 vs Peretiatko 1517
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 60% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim +3 · Peretiatko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 2.00 / Peretiatko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Peretiatko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084346
Kim2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 148 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back33% 67 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 104
Peretiatko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it70% 56 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim4wins
AwayPeretiatko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim50%2 of 4
AwayPeretiatko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S2Kim6Peretiatko4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Kim3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Kim3Peretiatko5n = 8Peretiatko took 5 of 8
S5Kim3Peretiatko2n = 5Kim took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimPeretiatkoK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.5−3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 1010 vs 364 / 77548%47%485 / 1010 vs 364 / 775Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoKim 2.00/Peretiatko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 03:05D. Kim—1611113A. Peretiatko—14880
WAug 7 · 04:05D. Kim—211118113A. Peretiatko—11671142
WAug 6 · 02:35D. Kim—117911123A. Peretiatko—911119102
LAug 3 · 23:05D. Kim—1145151A. Peretiatko—71111173
WJul 31 · 03:05D. Kim—311211113A. Peretiatko—11811682
LJul 28 · 03:35D. Kim—6770A. Peretiatko—1111113
LJul 23 · 22:05D. Kim—1011111182A. Peretiatko—126913113
LJul 20 · 02:35D. Kim—811911102A. Peretiatko—118115123
LJul 7 · 24:35D. Kim—119571A. Peretiatko—91111113
LJul 3 · 02:35D. Kim—9117101A. Peretiatko—11911123
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981WSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
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