TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067720
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171311911115––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 78 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 62.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 50–28 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 28 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-28 in 78
Pitsyk
Correct
gap of 22 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1559 vs Kim 1529
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk -1 · Kim -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.50 / Kim 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pitsyk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067720
Pitsyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Kim2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 152 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back33% 67 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePitsyk6wins
AwayKim4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePitsyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pitsyk7Kim3n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S2Pitsyk7Kim3n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S3Pitsyk4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Pitsyk3Kim2n = 5Pitsyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPitsykKimP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.032.5+2.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykKimBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 585 vs 485 / 101053.9%48%315 / 585 vs 485 / 1010Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.50/Kim 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 01:05S. Pitsyk—61111113D. Kim—115971
LAug 23 · 21:35S. Pitsyk—13760D. Kim—1511113
WAug 9 · 23:35S. Pitsyk—1111123D. Kim—98100
LAug 2 · 21:05S. Pitsyk—10770D. Kim—1211113
WJul 31 · 24:05S. Pitsyk—1111113D. Kim—6860
WJul 27 · 24:05S. Pitsyk—1611113D. Kim—14690
WJul 6 · 03:35S. Pitsyk—11118113D. Kim—481141
LJul 2 · 22:35S. Pitsyk—12119572D. Kim—1091111113
WJun 25 · 01:05S. Pitsyk—11118113D. Kim—861131
LJun 21 · 22:35S. Pitsyk—116581D. Kim—61111113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.